Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 117.652100 130.224995 143.175414 157.483732 172.821181 188.740892 206.486190
2024-10-06 102.215139 121.433055 142.229338 166.284304 193.217905 222.323767 256.030919
2024-10-13 88.044499 111.899570 138.934758 171.534184 209.461740 251.886799 302.610457
2024-10-20 73.862253 100.374635 131.805574 171.225856 218.736383 273.552289 340.951588
2024-10-27 62.666590 90.861016 125.748724 171.124322 227.579307 294.517204 378.837761
2024-11-03 56.241422 86.406390 125.164557 177.168814 243.617917 324.193139 427.698743
2024-11-10 50.167337 81.573703 123.419584 181.239349 256.960648 350.670371 473.178769
2024-11-17 45.283842 77.709438 122.406811 185.848459 270.791205 377.827931 519.922279
2024-11-24 41.442023 74.826533 122.323973 191.411854 285.768564 406.582548 569.134921
2024-12-01 34.752086 66.857768 114.344826 185.482529 284.944867 414.690326 591.984070
2024-12-08 29.955324 61.205154 109.131557 182.882236 288.188130 427.835566 621.259480
2024-12-15 26.781614 57.781174 106.881532 184.229620 296.682938 447.904459 659.753489
2024-12-22 24.350860 55.410045 106.157702 187.892547 308.740877 473.358330 706.385099
2024-12-29 22.912730 54.628618 107.860295 195.226652 326.239653 506.624748 764.173047
2025-01-05 21.013579 52.760213 107.631531 199.532798 339.431816 534.237080 814.883442
2025-01-12 18.334176 49.028917 103.984681 198.251164 344.277812 550.272964 850.100262
2025-01-19 16.083002 45.806171 100.895561 197.588344 349.876608 567.341707 886.905546
2025-01-26 15.123282 45.134237 102.180621 203.975613 366.197638 599.846266 945.496813
2025-02-02 13.961428 43.854246 102.247553 208.293184 379.397085 628.061843 998.495814
2025-02-09 12.998136 42.873382 102.751095 213.280745 393.663008 657.969534 1054.200312
2025-02-16 12.246667 42.277602 103.906623 219.365842 409.733858 690.722794 1114.336451
2025-02-23 10.171894 38.108331 97.878418 212.765053 405.542805 693.651145 1132.138569
2025-03-02 8.733201 35.249871 94.128160 209.863085 407.019935 704.814648 1161.699058